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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.79+8.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.07vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+4.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.32vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.53vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.87-2.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-4.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-7.13vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-2.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.47vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.22-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.16Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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4.65Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.28Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.93Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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15.22Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| John Rolander | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.