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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.25+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.31+2.01vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.29+2.97vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.75-1.06vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.21+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.41-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.60-1.70vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.79-3.14vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.01-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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5.97Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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5.88Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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4.86Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.46Purdue University0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Kluger | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Sammy Barbour | 13.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Maggie Junkin | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% |
| Allison Prange | 26.6% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| George Halsted | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| Peter Lewis | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| Emily Golden | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Graham Hutchings | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Sean Perry | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.