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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+2.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.00vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22+1.90vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-4.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20+0.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-0.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.12vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.26-1.86vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.39-6.03vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.09vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Roger Williams University2.688.7%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.386.9%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.7314.3%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.586.2%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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9.9Brown University2.223.6%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.1817.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.225.6%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College1.203.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University1.262.4%1st Place
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14.43Maine Maritime Academy0.410.7%1st Place
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9.97Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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14.91University of New Hampshire0.100.6%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 23.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sam Harris | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 30.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.