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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.31vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+5.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.10vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+1.13vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.01+5.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.33vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.72+1.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.51vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-2.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-3.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.92vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-5.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.54vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.72-6.64vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.22-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.98Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.93Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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15.24Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.