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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+5.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+3.34vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+3.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+3.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-0.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73-0.45vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61-1.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-2.07vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.36+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-3.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.41vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.93Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.23Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| India Johnstone | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Samara Leith | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 40.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.7% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.