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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+5.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+4.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+4.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+3.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+1.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92-0.19vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.74vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24-1.73vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.36+0.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-6.21vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.39vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.52College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.76George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.95Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.27University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.91Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Maeve White | 10.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| India Johnstone | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Samara Leith | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 42.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.