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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.33vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.38+6.52vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+6.18vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+3.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+3.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.00vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04-1.54vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-2.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-3.46vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-1.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.90vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-4.71vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.73-6.54vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.36-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.94Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| India Johnstone | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Maeve White | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.