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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+4.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+4.29vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04-1.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-0.17vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36+2.09vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-3.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.79vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-3.97vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.39vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.73-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.65Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.29University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.09Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Maeve White | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Samara Leith | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 38.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| India Johnstone | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.