← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.24+8.13vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.24vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.38+5.74vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.74+3.49vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.04+0.51vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.91-0.11vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.61+0.03vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.92-2.22vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.52-2.70vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.73-4.19vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.02-6.18vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.36-1.97vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.14-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.13University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.74George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.49Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.89Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.03Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.78Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.07U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
8.3Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
7.81College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.82Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
12.03Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.64Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Samara Leith | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 15.1% | 39.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.