← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+5.36vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.24vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.91vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.24+5.24vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.52+3.35vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.91+0.94vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.74+0.50vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.61+0.03vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.73-1.52vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.38-1.09vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.14-1.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.04-5.35vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.02-6.16vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.92-7.15vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.36-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
9.24University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.35Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.5Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.03Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.48College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.91George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.72Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.65University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.84Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.85Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
11.98Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Maeve White | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Samara Leith | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.