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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+4.43vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+4.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+2.32vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+1.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-0.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-4.37vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-3.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-6.31vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.73-6.50vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.36-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Maeve White | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| India Johnstone | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Samara Leith | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.