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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.31+2.84vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.25+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.75-0.02vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.79+0.78vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.21+0.90vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.01+0.49vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.29-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.60-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.41-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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4.07Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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4.78Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.9Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.99Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Barbour | 17.5% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| David Kluger | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Allison Prange | 28.3% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Graham Hutchings | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| George Halsted | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| Sean Perry | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 25.9% |
| Maggie Junkin | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Emily Golden | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Peter Lewis | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.