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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+5.10vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+6.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+2.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+2.61vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67-0.70vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+1.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.36+1.81vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.51-2.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.40vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-5.66vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.78-3.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.92vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.83-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.3College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.81Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.01George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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12.17Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Marly Isler | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nikki Medley | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Kate Klement | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Grace Mason | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.