← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.76+4.95vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.05+6.32vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.51+3.85vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.67+2.32vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.63+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.36+4.82vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.33+0.44vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.98vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.78+0.38vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.74-0.32vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.76-4.86vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.73-5.60vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.56vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.32-6.54vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.83-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.32Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.85George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
-
6.32College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.59Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.82Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.44Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.38Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
-
9.68Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.14Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.4University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.44U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
12.19Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Nikki Medley | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Mason | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 6.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Kate Klement | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.