Race 5B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kate Klement 7.6% 6.9% 6.8% 8.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 7.1% 6.6% 6.5% 4.6% 2.3%
Rose Edwards 10.6% 12.0% 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 7.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.0% 5.6% 4.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Marly Isler 9.7% 12.1% 9.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 5.3% 6.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 8.1% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 7.2% 8.4% 7.9% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 7.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 0.7%
Grace Mason 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 5.4% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 11.5% 12.3% 11.5% 5.8%
Kate Shaner 5.5% 7.9% 6.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 9.4% 9.1% 7.9% 9.3% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 3.6% 1.1%
Miranda Bakos 10.4% 6.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.7% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 8.7% 5.7% 5.0% 5.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Maria El-Khazindar 10.0% 8.7% 10.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 8.1% 7.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 2.2% 1.0%
Sarah Streater 9.9% 9.9% 10.7% 8.4% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 8.9% 7.1% 5.9% 5.6% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Victoria McGruer 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 5.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.9% 7.2% 8.3% 10.0% 7.8% 8.7% 7.9% 3.1%
Meredith Morran 2.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6% 3.4% 4.8% 6.3% 5.6% 6.4% 9.3% 11.7% 20.0% 14.3%
Mary Robertson 3.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 4.9% 6.4% 6.5% 8.8% 7.8% 10.2% 11.6% 12.0% 4.6%
Nikki Medley 9.4% 8.9% 7.2% 9.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 9.1% 8.4% 7.0% 6.8% 5.3% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Amanda Stapp 3.4% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 4.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% 8.5% 7.9% 10.7% 10.8% 14.6% 4.9%
Laura Kilgore 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.5% 3.4% 7.6% 12.1% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.