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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+5.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.33+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+3.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+2.03vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+3.52vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.78+3.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+0.40vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+1.51vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-3.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-4.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.36-1.06vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.81vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.67-7.75vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.22-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.02University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.7George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.94Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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13.29Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Marly Isler | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Mason | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Kate Klement | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 23.2% | 12.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.