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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+5.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+4.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+4.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+2.48vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.07vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67-1.01vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.78+1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.52vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-1.57vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-4.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.36-2.62vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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10.38Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| Nikki Medley | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Grace Mason | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% |
| Kate Klement | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Meredith Morran | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 27.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.