← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.05+7.39vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.76+3.90vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.73+3.14vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.36+6.82vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.74+4.61vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.99vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.63-0.56vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.76-1.93vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.67-2.69vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.58-3.25vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.32-3.33vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.53vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.78-3.29vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.33-6.45vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.83-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.39Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
5.9Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.14University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.82Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.61Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.44Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.07Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.31College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.75George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.67Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.47U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.71Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.55Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
-
12.17Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Marly Isler | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kate Klement | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Grace Mason | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.