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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.31+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.75+1.14vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.79+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.21+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.60-0.74vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.25-3.08vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.29-2.07vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.01-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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3.14University of Minnesota1.750.2%1st Place
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4.91Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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5.92Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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3.92Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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5.93Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.48Purdue University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Barbour | 17.9% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Allison Prange | 23.0% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Graham Hutchings | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Peter Lewis | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
| George Halsted | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| Emily Golden | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| David Kluger | 15.3% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Maggie Junkin | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 19.0% |
| Sean Perry | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.