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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+3.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.58-1.59vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.64vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59+0.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.20-1.57vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-6.36vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.12vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.62vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Yale University2.7314.5%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University3.1817.5%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.386.4%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.224.3%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.3%1st Place
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9.63Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
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7.41Boston College2.587.0%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.385.4%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University1.591.9%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.1%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College1.202.2%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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13.88Maine Maritime Academy0.410.7%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.4%1st Place
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13.98University of New Hampshire0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Busch | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 27.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Sam Harris | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.