Race 10B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rose Edwards 11.1% 10.4% 11.4% 10.5% 6.6% 9.2% 7.8% 9.0% 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 3.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Victoria McGruer 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.9% 5.3% 5.9% 7.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.0% 10.9% 8.0% 7.1%
Marissa Golison 7.9% 9.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 6.1% 4.6% 2.8%
Amanda Stapp 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.5% 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 9.7% 11.0% 13.7% 15.1%
Kate Shaner 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 8.7% 6.0% 7.7% 6.7% 8.0% 9.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 4.6%
Mary Robertson 4.5% 3.9% 4.3% 3.8% 4.9% 4.9% 7.0% 5.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.1% 11.0% 11.1% 13.6%
Maria El-Khazindar 10.4% 10.3% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 7.0% 6.8% 5.2% 4.3% 3.0% 2.0%
Miranda Bakos 9.1% 9.1% 8.4% 9.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.5% 6.2% 5.1% 6.4% 5.1% 2.3%
Marly Isler 10.8% 8.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 6.9% 8.5% 7.5% 6.6% 3.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Nikki Medley 9.1% 7.9% 10.4% 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 3.4% 4.3% 1.7%
Meredith Morran 2.4% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 5.4% 4.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.3% 10.0% 16.8% 28.1%
Grace Mason 4.0% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 9.8% 10.4% 12.8% 14.1%
Sarah Streater 9.9% 10.5% 8.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.0% 6.3% 6.2% 5.3% 6.2% 4.6% 1.6% 2.2%
Kate Klement 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 5.8% 8.2% 6.3% 7.2% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 8.9% 6.4% 5.6% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.