Race 1A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Williford 18.8% 16.9% 17.2% 14.5% 10.7% 6.9% 6.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 17.6% 17.3% 14.4% 14.0% 9.8% 10.3% 7.2% 5.2% 2.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Dirk Johnson 12.2% 9.0% 12.4% 12.3% 12.1% 11.4% 11.4% 8.4% 6.2% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Peter Girard 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 6.3% 6.2% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 12.8% 13.9% 14.0% 8.6%
John Silvestri 6.0% 8.0% 7.2% 9.7% 11.0% 9.7% 9.3% 11.7% 11.0% 8.0% 5.4% 3.0%
Jackson Hamilton 7.6% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 10.5% 12.1% 10.8% 11.1% 9.6% 7.3% 3.8% 1.8%
John Cappetta 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 8.4% 10.4% 12.5% 13.8% 13.0% 9.9%
Casey Gowrie 14.6% 12.0% 12.0% 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 10.7% 6.8% 5.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Alexander Baskin 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.3% 6.2% 9.5% 10.8% 15.1% 18.6% 22.9%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 5.2% 7.4% 10.0% 15.1% 20.5% 23.5%
Erin Mullins 11.6% 12.0% 11.9% 11.4% 12.8% 11.0% 10.7% 7.2% 5.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.9% 4.1% 7.1% 10.6% 14.9% 19.3% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.