Race 2A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Williford 18.1% 16.9% 17.7% 14.0% 10.5% 8.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Casey Gowrie 11.3% 12.6% 12.7% 11.3% 14.2% 12.3% 7.4% 6.6% 7.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
John Cappetta 4.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.7% 6.3% 8.9% 11.1% 12.8% 13.4% 14.4% 10.3%
Hannah Polster 16.7% 17.5% 14.9% 13.9% 11.8% 7.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 8.9% 11.0% 10.4% 13.0% 9.6% 9.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.7%
Dirk Johnson 10.7% 12.6% 10.3% 12.0% 11.8% 11.7% 10.0% 8.6% 6.8% 3.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Peter Girard 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.9% 7.5% 8.5% 11.1% 12.8% 13.1% 13.2% 9.2%
Erin Mullins 14.4% 11.3% 13.8% 11.4% 10.2% 10.9% 10.3% 8.3% 4.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.7%
Alexander Baskin 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.8% 6.5% 8.7% 10.7% 15.6% 20.3% 21.3%
Ryan Gershuny 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 2.0% 4.2% 5.3% 8.9% 10.1% 14.3% 19.7% 23.9%
Jennifer Lee 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 9.8% 14.6% 18.9% 31.1%
John Silvestri 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 9.7% 9.4% 10.7% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 9.5% 5.4% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.