Race 3A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Williford 18.5% 17.8% 13.9% 16.4% 10.8% 7.7% 7.0% 3.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 17.4% 17.4% 15.0% 12.4% 11.6% 9.2% 8.9% 3.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Dirk Johnson 12.2% 9.9% 12.1% 10.7% 12.2% 12.0% 10.5% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 11.1% 13.7% 12.6% 12.3% 11.1% 11.0% 9.9% 7.2% 5.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.6%
Jackson Hamilton 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 10.4% 10.3% 9.2% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4%
Peter Girard 3.7% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 5.6% 6.3% 9.8% 10.9% 13.8% 14.4% 14.8% 7.3%
John Cappetta 3.8% 4.5% 3.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.8% 7.6% 11.1% 12.8% 13.7% 13.8% 9.1%
Casey Gowrie 14.1% 12.5% 12.0% 10.6% 12.5% 11.2% 8.6% 9.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7%
John Silvestri 6.1% 6.2% 9.2% 9.2% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2% 12.9% 10.0% 7.8% 4.5% 1.2%
Ryan Gershuny 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.9% 6.8% 7.2% 10.5% 15.0% 19.3% 23.8%
Alexander Baskin 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 11.0% 14.7% 20.3% 25.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 7.9% 10.1% 13.5% 19.7% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.