Race 4A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Williford 19.8% 16.5% 15.4% 14.3% 12.1% 8.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Casey Gowrie 11.5% 11.8% 13.0% 11.8% 12.9% 10.7% 9.7% 8.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Dirk Johnson 12.5% 10.7% 11.1% 11.0% 11.9% 11.5% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 10.9% 13.3% 11.6% 14.9% 11.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.2% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Peter Girard 3.0% 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 9.6% 13.2% 14.7% 13.1% 10.0%
Jackson Hamilton 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 9.6% 11.8% 11.4% 10.8% 11.5% 6.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Hannah Polster 18.4% 19.1% 14.5% 10.8% 12.0% 9.1% 6.2% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
John Cappetta 3.7% 4.6% 3.6% 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 8.5% 11.1% 12.3% 15.5% 13.2% 8.8%
John Silvestri 6.0% 5.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.1% 11.0% 12.4% 10.8% 10.2% 9.3% 3.5% 1.4%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 9.1% 10.9% 14.5% 19.0% 23.8%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 5.5% 5.5% 9.9% 13.6% 22.6% 28.7%
Alexander Baskin 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 6.1% 7.2% 11.0% 14.9% 19.2% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.