Race 5A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Casey Gowrie 11.9% 10.3% 12.9% 11.5% 13.0% 13.0% 9.8% 7.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 6.8% 8.5% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.8% 10.9% 12.5% 10.2% 5.9% 3.3% 2.0%
Hannah Polster 17.5% 16.5% 14.2% 12.8% 13.0% 10.3% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Christopher Williford 20.0% 17.9% 16.1% 14.4% 10.4% 7.8% 6.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 12.3% 12.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.2% 12.1% 9.5% 8.4% 5.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Peter Girard 3.3% 3.2% 5.5% 6.4% 5.2% 5.5% 8.3% 11.1% 13.5% 16.1% 14.0% 7.9%
Dirk Johnson 12.9% 11.7% 12.3% 11.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.9% 8.5% 5.0% 3.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 3.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 4.5% 7.1% 7.5% 9.0% 12.7% 19.4% 25.8%
Jennifer Lee 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 3.7% 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 11.7% 15.9% 18.6% 26.6%
John Silvestri 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.9% 11.1% 10.3% 11.0% 10.5% 11.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.8%
Alexander Baskin 2.0% 2.3% 1.6% 3.3% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 7.8% 9.7% 13.3% 21.2% 25.7%
John Cappetta 3.3% 4.3% 3.2% 4.1% 6.8% 7.0% 8.6% 11.0% 14.3% 15.6% 13.0% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.