Race 6A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Casey Gowrie 12.4% 10.2% 12.7% 11.6% 13.2% 10.6% 10.1% 9.2% 4.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Dirk Johnson 10.6% 13.0% 10.9% 11.9% 11.7% 11.8% 9.3% 7.2% 7.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Christopher Williford 19.7% 17.2% 15.5% 14.3% 10.3% 10.5% 6.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 6.9% 7.7% 9.5% 10.2% 10.2% 11.0% 10.7% 12.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7%
John Silvestri 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 10.8% 10.1% 9.2% 11.8% 11.0% 10.0% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
Erin Mullins 12.3% 12.1% 12.7% 11.1% 13.0% 11.8% 8.6% 7.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4%
John Cappetta 3.8% 3.9% 5.7% 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 8.3% 10.9% 13.4% 13.8% 13.5% 9.3%
Peter Girard 4.2% 5.0% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 7.9% 8.4% 10.4% 13.3% 15.0% 12.1% 9.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 6.4% 7.7% 10.2% 15.2% 19.0% 27.5%
Alexander Baskin 2.3% 3.2% 2.4% 3.5% 2.7% 3.8% 5.7% 8.5% 10.0% 14.8% 21.0% 22.1%
Hannah Polster 17.6% 15.9% 15.2% 12.2% 11.1% 9.7% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 3.4% 2.0% 2.9% 2.0% 4.3% 6.0% 7.4% 11.7% 12.9% 19.3% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.