Race 7A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 18.4% 15.2% 14.1% 14.4% 13.7% 8.4% 6.6% 3.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 11.3% 14.0% 12.5% 11.9% 10.8% 11.9% 9.9% 9.0% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Christopher Williford 18.9% 18.6% 15.2% 13.6% 11.4% 8.6% 8.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
John Cappetta 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.3% 13.1% 15.0% 12.8% 10.1%
Casey Gowrie 11.8% 12.9% 13.3% 10.1% 10.5% 12.7% 9.1% 7.8% 6.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Jackson Hamilton 8.6% 7.9% 7.7% 9.3% 9.6% 11.3% 12.4% 11.9% 9.3% 6.4% 4.4% 1.2%
Dirk Johnson 12.6% 11.4% 12.3% 12.1% 10.5% 11.1% 9.4% 8.7% 6.2% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Jennifer Lee 1.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 3.1% 4.9% 7.4% 9.9% 13.6% 18.6% 29.3%
John Silvestri 5.8% 6.3% 9.7% 10.3% 10.5% 9.5% 11.3% 12.1% 11.5% 8.1% 3.5% 1.4%
Peter Girard 4.5% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.9% 9.3% 11.5% 13.2% 14.5% 12.7% 8.3%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 2.2% 1.5% 3.4% 3.1% 4.1% 5.3% 6.8% 10.4% 15.8% 22.2% 23.4%
Alexander Baskin 1.7% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 4.6% 5.2% 8.0% 11.1% 14.7% 19.7% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.