Race 8A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dirk Johnson 10.5% 11.2% 11.0% 12.5% 11.6% 12.3% 10.9% 8.9% 5.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5%
John Silvestri 5.9% 8.2% 7.5% 9.3% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 12.0% 12.5% 8.0% 4.7% 2.0%
Jackson Hamilton 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 9.0% 11.3% 9.5% 11.1% 12.8% 10.5% 6.7% 3.2% 0.8%
Hannah Polster 16.8% 17.7% 15.4% 14.7% 11.5% 9.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Peter Girard 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 12.2% 12.9% 14.3% 10.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 5.1% 9.1% 13.3% 21.9% 29.2%
Christopher Williford 20.3% 18.4% 15.4% 13.1% 10.9% 7.9% 5.9% 3.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 13.6% 12.8% 11.9% 11.6% 12.5% 10.1% 9.7% 7.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Ryan Gershuny 1.7% 1.2% 3.2% 2.0% 3.3% 5.0% 7.4% 8.3% 10.5% 16.5% 18.1% 22.8%
Casey Gowrie 12.3% 11.5% 13.0% 13.3% 10.7% 12.1% 9.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4%
John Cappetta 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 7.6% 8.7% 11.4% 12.9% 16.7% 12.1% 10.3%
Alexander Baskin 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 6.2% 7.7% 11.1% 15.6% 19.6% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.