Race 9A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 17.4% 14.1% 16.0% 14.4% 12.9% 9.6% 6.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Dirk Johnson 10.2% 12.1% 11.8% 12.7% 10.9% 13.3% 9.0% 9.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 9.3% 5.9% 8.5% 10.3% 10.2% 9.7% 12.9% 11.3% 10.0% 7.6% 3.1% 1.2%
Erin Mullins 11.6% 12.4% 13.0% 12.9% 11.5% 10.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Christopher Williford 19.2% 20.0% 15.2% 11.7% 12.1% 8.1% 5.5% 3.2% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
John Silvestri 5.9% 7.9% 8.5% 6.5% 9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 10.3% 11.7% 9.2% 5.4% 1.7%
Ryan Gershuny 2.0% 3.3% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 3.6% 6.5% 7.0% 10.9% 14.3% 18.0% 24.5%
Casey Gowrie 14.1% 12.6% 11.4% 12.3% 11.0% 10.0% 10.7% 7.7% 4.6% 3.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Peter Girard 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 6.1% 6.4% 8.9% 9.6% 10.7% 13.4% 14.6% 12.9% 7.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.1% 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 7.2% 8.5% 13.6% 20.2% 29.2%
John Cappetta 3.7% 2.8% 3.2% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 8.7% 12.2% 13.4% 13.1% 14.5% 11.0%
Alexander Baskin 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 1.8% 2.3% 5.5% 4.8% 8.2% 10.4% 14.2% 20.4% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.