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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+9.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.37+1.89vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.34+0.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+2.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.29-2.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-2.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+0.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07+1.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-5.79vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-2.73vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-6.25vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.56-4.26vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.48vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.423.2%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University2.4011.3%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.4811.8%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.3%1st Place
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6.89Brown University2.377.9%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.3410.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.274.2%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.2911.5%1st Place
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6.57Boston College2.028.5%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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12.18Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College0.892.9%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.8%1st Place
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15.96Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.6%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont0.562.1%1st Place
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14.52University of New Hampshire-0.221.1%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 49.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 24.1% | 20.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.