Race 10A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 17.7% 15.0% 14.7% 14.5% 12.3% 10.0% 6.4% 4.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Dirk Johnson 10.4% 12.3% 11.8% 12.2% 12.0% 11.6% 9.7% 8.8% 5.6% 3.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Christopher Williford 20.4% 16.9% 15.4% 12.9% 12.6% 8.7% 6.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
John Silvestri 5.8% 7.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 10.7% 7.8% 6.0% 2.1%
Casey Gowrie 11.8% 12.6% 12.9% 11.3% 11.9% 10.6% 10.1% 7.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5%
John Cappetta 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.9% 7.9% 11.7% 13.4% 14.8% 15.7% 7.7%
Peter Girard 4.1% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 6.6% 8.8% 10.8% 13.7% 14.1% 11.7% 9.2%
Jackson Hamilton 8.7% 8.0% 8.9% 10.3% 10.0% 11.1% 9.7% 12.2% 9.1% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 7.0% 7.2% 10.9% 14.5% 20.6% 25.9%
Erin Mullins 11.6% 13.8% 12.1% 12.8% 11.2% 11.9% 10.1% 7.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Alexander Baskin 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.7% 8.4% 9.1% 15.8% 18.3% 26.1%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2% 2.0% 4.1% 6.4% 6.6% 11.2% 15.2% 18.6% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.