Race 11A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 17.3% 15.8% 14.2% 15.4% 9.9% 10.6% 6.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
John Cappetta 2.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 6.3% 7.7% 9.1% 10.0% 12.7% 13.8% 15.5% 8.9%
John Silvestri 8.2% 6.3% 7.6% 8.1% 8.1% 10.7% 11.1% 12.3% 10.9% 10.5% 4.7% 1.5%
Dirk Johnson 10.2% 11.2% 12.8% 12.1% 12.3% 10.4% 10.0% 9.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 11.7% 13.5% 12.5% 12.1% 12.2% 11.8% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Christopher Williford 19.2% 18.7% 15.2% 14.2% 10.0% 8.9% 6.2% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Jennifer Lee 2.2% 2.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 4.9% 5.2% 7.4% 10.2% 12.6% 19.4% 27.8%
Jackson Hamilton 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 11.3% 9.2% 12.2% 12.2% 7.1% 7.8% 3.7% 1.5%
Peter Girard 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 7.2% 8.4% 9.7% 10.8% 13.3% 14.5% 11.6% 8.0%
Casey Gowrie 12.5% 11.8% 13.4% 11.2% 12.0% 11.8% 10.1% 6.9% 5.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Alexander Baskin 2.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 2.9% 5.8% 7.5% 10.6% 15.8% 19.2% 25.6%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 2.2% 3.7% 2.7% 6.3% 6.6% 11.7% 13.6% 20.3% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.