Race 12A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dirk Johnson 10.9% 10.2% 10.7% 11.5% 14.8% 11.8% 10.4% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 12.0% 13.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.8% 10.6% 10.4% 8.6% 4.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Peter Girard 4.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 10.7% 14.0% 13.9% 13.3% 9.0%
Christopher Williford 20.1% 15.8% 16.8% 14.2% 10.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 19.2% 17.5% 12.9% 12.4% 12.6% 8.5% 6.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
John Silvestri 5.6% 8.5% 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 12.0% 10.4% 12.3% 12.7% 8.1% 5.5% 1.5%
Casey Gowrie 13.7% 11.2% 12.3% 13.4% 10.5% 10.6% 11.3% 6.4% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Ryan Gershuny 1.5% 2.9% 3.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.8% 10.1% 14.1% 18.4% 25.5%
Jackson Hamilton 5.8% 8.5% 10.8% 11.5% 10.9% 10.6% 11.9% 10.7% 9.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 1.8% 4.6% 3.8% 8.1% 10.2% 12.8% 20.6% 28.1%
John Cappetta 3.4% 2.6% 4.6% 5.3% 5.7% 5.6% 8.8% 12.2% 11.2% 17.2% 13.0% 10.4%
Alexander Baskin 1.7% 3.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 4.8% 4.5% 8.5% 10.3% 15.0% 21.0% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.