Race 1B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kurran Singh 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.1% 9.8% 12.8% 13.8% 15.1% 10.0% 4.3%
Solomon Tarlin 5.5% 4.6% 7.5% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 13.0% 13.3% 12.1% 10.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Martim Anderson 31.6% 22.5% 15.6% 13.1% 8.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 11.0% 13.9% 14.0% 14.0% 12.7% 12.8% 8.1% 6.4% 3.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Brendan Read 11.7% 13.4% 14.2% 12.0% 12.1% 10.7% 10.0% 6.3% 5.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 12.8% 12.2% 11.9% 8.2% 4.8% 1.3%
Margaret Kilvert 9.5% 11.6% 12.6% 9.9% 12.2% 11.6% 10.6% 9.4% 7.0% 3.0% 2.1% 0.5%
James Amaral 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 10.1% 11.6% 13.9% 14.2% 7.8% 3.0%
Courtney Koos 9.5% 11.7% 12.2% 13.7% 11.8% 12.6% 9.4% 8.5% 6.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.3% 4.3% 2.6% 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 8.4% 10.1% 13.0% 17.9% 16.4% 7.6%
George Williams 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 5.4% 5.5% 10.1% 26.1% 41.6%
Jade Forsberg 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 7.2% 11.9% 25.1% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.