Race 2B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Martim Anderson 29.8% 25.2% 16.6% 11.1% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 11.0% 13.7% 14.0% 13.2% 11.7% 11.3% 10.1% 7.5% 4.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 14.6% 11.3% 13.8% 13.5% 12.7% 11.8% 8.7% 7.5% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 3.6% 3.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 9.8% 10.6% 12.0% 13.1% 13.8% 11.0% 3.5%
Margaret Kilvert 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 12.4% 12.8% 9.9% 10.1% 10.5% 7.4% 3.2% 2.8% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 5.6% 6.3% 8.6% 6.0% 9.0% 11.2% 12.0% 10.9% 12.6% 10.7% 5.0% 2.1%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.9% 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 8.9% 14.1% 16.8% 15.9% 8.2%
Courtney Koos 11.9% 11.5% 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 10.5% 8.7% 6.2% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Shannon Killian 5.5% 7.2% 8.1% 10.9% 10.6% 10.0% 11.9% 13.1% 9.0% 9.5% 3.6% 0.6%
George Williams 0.8% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 7.3% 10.2% 25.0% 40.7%
James Amaral 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 10.1% 11.9% 14.4% 13.7% 9.8% 3.6%
Jade Forsberg 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 6.7% 13.0% 24.6% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.