Race 3B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Martim Anderson 31.8% 22.2% 18.3% 11.9% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 10.8% 14.0% 14.5% 11.0% 13.0% 11.4% 9.5% 7.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 6.8% 4.9% 6.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.5% 12.1% 12.3% 13.3% 10.1% 5.0% 1.5%
Jack Bitney 10.8% 13.9% 14.0% 12.9% 13.2% 11.8% 9.0% 6.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 12.1% 13.0% 11.4% 11.0% 8.2% 6.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Shannon Killian 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.6% 8.3% 12.2% 12.1% 10.4% 12.2% 9.3% 5.5% 0.8%
James Amaral 4.6% 5.2% 5.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 13.2% 13.2% 12.9% 8.0% 2.8%
Kurran Singh 4.4% 5.1% 4.7% 7.3% 6.4% 8.3% 10.1% 12.4% 13.2% 15.0% 9.5% 3.6%
Courtney Koos 9.2% 11.3% 12.2% 13.6% 12.8% 11.5% 10.1% 8.9% 5.9% 3.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Jade Forsberg 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 4.6% 6.6% 11.8% 24.4% 39.4%
George Williams 1.3% 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 9.7% 25.7% 43.9%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 8.2% 10.6% 13.4% 17.5% 18.4% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.