Race 4B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Martim Anderson 29.2% 24.4% 19.4% 10.8% 6.8% 5.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 8.9% 11.8% 14.9% 14.3% 10.1% 4.0%
Margaret Kilvert 10.7% 9.2% 10.4% 11.7% 12.7% 12.5% 10.0% 10.5% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Jade Forsberg 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 2.4% 5.4% 8.0% 11.7% 24.7% 38.4%
Jack Bitney 12.6% 13.6% 14.2% 14.1% 11.8% 9.5% 9.4% 6.3% 5.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 6.5% 6.8% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 11.1% 11.9% 13.2% 9.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.5%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.9% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 8.3% 8.8% 14.0% 17.2% 15.9% 8.1%
Brendan Read 14.5% 12.8% 12.8% 10.6% 12.8% 11.9% 9.9% 6.5% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 4.8% 7.5% 7.1% 9.5% 10.4% 11.0% 12.6% 11.0% 10.0% 10.3% 5.2% 0.6%
James Amaral 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 9.4% 13.4% 13.4% 12.5% 9.6% 3.5%
Courtney Koos 9.5% 10.3% 10.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.4% 11.8% 8.7% 7.1% 4.4% 1.9% 0.1%
George Williams 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 5.9% 10.8% 24.9% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.