Race 6B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margaret Kilvert 9.4% 10.5% 9.5% 12.3% 11.9% 12.0% 11.5% 9.4% 6.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 11.3% 15.3% 14.5% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.8% 6.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.7% 8.1% 10.3% 11.2% 13.2% 14.0% 10.2% 4.5% 1.4%
Shannon Killian 5.2% 6.7% 8.1% 9.4% 10.5% 11.1% 12.0% 11.2% 11.5% 8.4% 4.5% 1.4%
Courtney Koos 10.5% 10.3% 12.2% 11.6% 12.6% 10.9% 11.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.2%
James Amaral 4.4% 4.6% 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 8.7% 10.9% 13.4% 11.6% 14.5% 9.5% 2.5%
Kurran Singh 4.8% 4.1% 5.9% 5.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 13.0% 15.0% 14.5% 7.4% 3.8%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 4.7% 6.6% 6.2% 7.3% 9.7% 13.2% 16.7% 18.3% 7.0%
Brendan Read 12.2% 13.2% 14.3% 14.3% 10.9% 12.1% 9.1% 7.9% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Martim Anderson 31.5% 23.3% 17.4% 11.3% 7.6% 4.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
George Williams 1.3% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 7.1% 9.7% 26.9% 41.8%
Jade Forsberg 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 12.1% 24.6% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.