Race 7B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Bitney 12.9% 12.7% 11.8% 15.5% 12.1% 11.2% 9.2% 6.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Martim Anderson 31.2% 25.5% 15.7% 10.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 10.2% 9.4% 12.6% 10.4% 11.6% 11.6% 11.7% 10.6% 6.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Brendan Read 10.7% 13.4% 15.3% 12.9% 12.1% 11.2% 9.2% 7.5% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 9.2% 11.6% 12.9% 11.3% 9.9% 6.0% 1.6%
Shannon Killian 6.2% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.3% 12.4% 11.2% 11.1% 13.6% 8.8% 4.6% 1.0%
Courtney Koos 11.1% 10.0% 13.4% 12.2% 11.4% 11.3% 11.3% 7.7% 6.8% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Kurran Singh 4.6% 5.2% 4.6% 7.3% 8.1% 7.8% 10.4% 11.3% 13.9% 13.8% 9.3% 3.7%
James Amaral 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 6.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.1% 13.6% 11.8% 14.2% 7.5% 1.7%
George Williams 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 2.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 6.9% 12.8% 23.3% 40.7%
Jade Forsberg 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 4.6% 6.1% 10.8% 25.0% 41.8%
Jack Ryan 1.9% 4.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 7.7% 10.1% 13.3% 18.7% 19.2% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.