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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.31+2.71vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.79+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.75-0.07vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.21+1.70vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.25-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.41-0.56vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.06+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.60-2.91vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.29-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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4.85Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.73Northwestern University1.250.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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7.9Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.65Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Barbour | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Graham Hutchings | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Allison Prange | 27.4% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| George Halsted | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 10.3% |
| David Kluger | 18.2% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Peter Lewis | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 7.4% |
| Nick Heymer | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 61.9% |
| Emily Golden | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Maggie Junkin | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.