← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.37+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.73vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.48+2.62vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.33vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.89+4.54vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.29-1.19vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+5.78vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.02-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.06-3.73vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.42-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.34-5.82vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.07-2.20vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.96vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.56-3.38vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.07-3.83vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.27-7.25vs Predicted
-
18University of New Hampshire-0.22-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Brown University2.378.8%1st Place
-
7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.2%1st Place
-
5.62Harvard University2.4812.2%1st Place
-
10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.5%1st Place
-
5.91Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
-
10.54Connecticut College0.893.4%1st Place
-
5.81Yale University2.2911.8%1st Place
-
13.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.1%1st Place
-
6.55Boston College2.028.8%1st Place
-
6.27Bowdoin College2.068.9%1st Place
-
10.62University of Rhode Island1.423.2%1st Place
-
6.18Dartmouth College2.349.6%1st Place
-
10.8Northeastern University1.073.0%1st Place
-
15.96Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.4%1st Place
-
11.62University of Vermont0.562.2%1st Place
-
12.17Boston University1.072.0%1st Place
-
9.75Tufts University1.274.0%1st Place
-
14.49University of New Hampshire-0.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 14.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Chase Decker | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 48.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.