Race 8B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Courtney Koos 10.4% 10.3% 9.9% 13.4% 12.0% 12.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Martim Anderson 28.9% 27.4% 16.0% 10.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 13.6% 11.5% 14.6% 12.3% 12.7% 12.8% 9.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 8.5% 10.3% 12.9% 12.9% 12.6% 11.5% 9.2% 9.3% 7.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Jack Ryan 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 8.4% 9.1% 13.1% 17.7% 18.5% 9.2%
Solomon Tarlin 6.0% 5.5% 7.7% 8.1% 9.4% 9.7% 10.9% 12.4% 14.1% 9.8% 5.1% 1.3%
Shannon Killian 7.2% 6.3% 8.9% 10.2% 9.0% 8.5% 12.2% 11.7% 11.4% 8.1% 4.6% 1.9%
Brendan Read 13.5% 14.5% 12.6% 12.3% 10.8% 11.9% 9.1% 7.7% 3.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Kurran Singh 3.2% 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 8.8% 8.5% 11.6% 11.3% 13.7% 15.2% 8.4% 2.3%
James Amaral 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 5.4% 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 12.5% 12.3% 15.2% 7.4% 3.1%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 4.0% 5.2% 5.7% 10.4% 28.4% 38.1%
George Williams 0.8% 1.5% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 12.1% 23.1% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.