Race 9B

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margaret Kilvert 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 13.5% 11.9% 11.7% 10.9% 9.6% 6.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Martim Anderson 30.8% 25.0% 15.7% 12.3% 8.2% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 6.0% 6.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 9.8% 12.5% 12.2% 14.1% 8.8% 5.5% 0.8%
Brendan Read 10.3% 14.1% 14.6% 12.6% 14.8% 9.7% 8.6% 6.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
James Amaral 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.4% 13.1% 13.6% 12.9% 9.3% 3.0%
Jack Bitney 13.5% 12.9% 13.6% 13.3% 12.0% 12.1% 8.5% 6.7% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Jack Ryan 2.4% 4.3% 3.0% 3.9% 5.6% 6.2% 8.6% 9.6% 12.0% 17.9% 16.1% 10.4%
Kurran Singh 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 9.6% 9.5% 11.1% 13.6% 13.5% 11.0% 3.2%
Jade Forsberg 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 4.4% 5.4% 6.4% 12.9% 26.0% 36.9%
Shannon Killian 6.5% 6.0% 9.5% 8.2% 8.9% 12.2% 11.3% 11.4% 11.2% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3%
George Williams 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 6.1% 12.2% 23.2% 43.6%
Courtney Koos 9.9% 9.4% 13.0% 11.5% 12.2% 11.6% 11.0% 10.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.