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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.00+5.32vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+4.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+1.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71-1.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82-0.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54-1.13vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.19+1.02vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66-1.01vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.24+1.11vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58-2.80vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.19-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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2.61Roger Williams University3.710.3%1st Place
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4.27Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.02Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.11Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.14Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| James Amaral | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Read | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 33.0% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 13.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Ryan | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 8.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 37.8% |
| Louis Frumer | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| George Williams | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 23.9% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.