Race 11B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Bitney 13.6% 12.9% 15.1% 15.9% 12.3% 10.6% 8.4% 4.9% 3.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Martim Anderson 31.5% 27.9% 15.6% 10.6% 6.0% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 13.5% 13.3% 15.2% 11.8% 12.3% 13.6% 8.5% 6.2% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 5.5% 7.3% 8.5% 11.3% 12.1% 9.6% 11.8% 10.5% 9.9% 8.4% 4.1% 1.0%
James Amaral 4.7% 5.1% 6.4% 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 11.3% 12.1% 12.5% 9.5% 9.3% 2.8%
Solomon Tarlin 5.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.5% 10.2% 9.7% 12.3% 11.9% 12.0% 8.0% 4.7% 1.4%
Louis Frumer 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 7.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.4% 12.1% 12.9% 14.3% 9.2% 3.6%
Margaret Kilvert 12.2% 11.7% 13.9% 11.2% 11.5% 10.2% 10.8% 8.3% 5.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.7%
Jack Ryan 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 10.5% 13.3% 15.5% 16.7% 7.2%
George Williams 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 4.7% 7.2% 11.9% 22.1% 39.8%
Jade Forsberg 1.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 3.4% 3.0% 5.3% 6.6% 11.1% 23.5% 40.8%
Kurran Singh 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 6.7% 8.7% 10.0% 9.5% 12.5% 12.8% 14.3% 8.7% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.