Race 12B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Shannon Killian 6.8% 7.4% 7.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.6% 12.8% 12.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.2% 1.5%
Margaret Kilvert 10.5% 11.3% 12.8% 11.3% 13.5% 12.8% 10.2% 7.5% 5.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Brendan Read 13.3% 13.4% 14.6% 12.5% 13.3% 11.4% 9.2% 5.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Bitney 12.0% 16.3% 15.1% 15.3% 13.1% 9.3% 7.7% 5.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Louis Frumer 3.6% 3.9% 6.5% 5.9% 9.1% 9.3% 9.1% 12.3% 13.7% 11.8% 10.7% 4.1%
Kurran Singh 4.3% 4.9% 5.6% 8.3% 6.5% 9.0% 11.2% 13.4% 11.4% 13.0% 9.9% 2.5%
Martim Anderson 34.7% 24.1% 15.2% 11.7% 7.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 6.4% 8.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.0% 11.4% 10.8% 11.1% 11.0% 9.3% 3.6% 1.7%
James Amaral 3.9% 4.3% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 12.2% 10.9% 11.4% 12.6% 11.1% 7.4% 1.5%
George Williams 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.5% 4.0% 7.0% 13.8% 21.8% 39.5%
Jade Forsberg 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 10.4% 23.8% 40.9%
Jack Ryan 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 6.4% 8.9% 10.4% 13.8% 16.4% 16.9% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.