Race 1A

saisa-np

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Willard 70.1% 20.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Thompson 5.2% 10.7% 17.2% 15.9% 19.1% 15.1% 10.3% 5.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Kailey Savacool 5.8% 14.3% 16.4% 18.5% 17.5% 15.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 6.5% 26.6% 23.7% 18.3% 12.7% 7.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Katsis 5.2% 11.1% 11.9% 17.0% 17.1% 18.1% 11.5% 6.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Abbie Probst 4.9% 10.9% 14.8% 15.2% 17.0% 16.3% 12.6% 6.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Brent DeAngelis 0.8% 1.3% 2.7% 5.1% 5.1% 9.8% 19.8% 23.9% 22.7% 8.8%
Brendan Bennett 0.8% 1.9% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 10.0% 15.5% 24.1% 23.5% 10.1%
Ian Christine 0.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.8% 2.8% 6.0% 11.3% 19.3% 55.8%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 12.2% 19.3% 29.1% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.