Race 2A

saisa-np

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mark Thompson 5.5% 12.0% 17.1% 15.2% 18.0% 15.7% 10.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Kailey Savacool 6.4% 12.8% 18.3% 17.5% 17.8% 14.3% 8.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Willard 68.6% 22.4% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 8.0% 24.7% 22.0% 20.2% 13.1% 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Katsis 4.7% 11.2% 12.1% 17.4% 16.7% 17.8% 12.1% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Abbie Probst 4.2% 11.1% 14.5% 16.0% 17.7% 16.4% 13.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.8% 11.6% 19.5% 32.0% 23.9%
Brendan Bennett 0.9% 2.1% 3.3% 4.1% 6.1% 10.2% 16.4% 26.2% 20.5% 10.2%
Brent DeAngelis 1.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.7% 5.9% 9.4% 19.2% 22.1% 21.7% 10.8%
Ian Christine 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 3.5% 5.5% 11.5% 21.0% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.