Race 3A

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 69.3% 22.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Sparkman 3.1% 8.5% 13.2% 15.3% 16.4% 16.0% 16.2% 8.9% 2.4%
Mark Thompson 4.2% 12.1% 13.3% 14.6% 15.8% 15.6% 15.9% 6.8% 1.7%
Kailey Savacool 5.6% 14.1% 17.0% 17.7% 13.9% 14.6% 11.9% 4.5% 0.7%
Alexander Katsis 4.0% 11.5% 14.2% 13.5% 13.4% 15.1% 15.9% 9.4% 3.0%
Abbie Probst 4.2% 10.2% 12.1% 13.2% 16.3% 17.6% 17.1% 7.8% 1.5%
Jack Gonzales 7.6% 18.4% 19.9% 17.3% 16.0% 11.2% 6.6% 2.9% 0.1%
Brendan Bennett 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.4% 10.9% 37.2% 31.8%
Ryan Welch 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.4% 5.5% 22.5% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.