Race 4A

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 69.8% 21.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Thompson 3.1% 9.4% 15.2% 14.1% 17.5% 15.9% 15.0% 7.9% 1.9%
Jack Sparkman 4.5% 10.8% 12.8% 15.1% 15.1% 15.9% 15.1% 9.5% 1.2%
Kailey Savacool 5.2% 13.5% 18.0% 17.7% 14.6% 13.2% 12.5% 4.5% 0.8%
Abbie Probst 4.0% 12.2% 14.1% 14.6% 12.6% 15.4% 15.3% 9.4% 2.4%
Alexander Katsis 3.9% 10.7% 10.7% 13.8% 16.6% 17.5% 15.8% 9.4% 1.6%
Brendan Bennett 0.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 4.8% 6.3% 12.8% 34.0% 33.7%
Ryan Welch 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 4.0% 7.0% 22.1% 58.0%
Jack Gonzales 7.7% 18.0% 19.7% 17.2% 15.6% 11.7% 6.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.