Race 5A

saisa-np

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Willard 67.2% 23.0% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kailey Savacool 3.4% 10.4% 13.9% 16.6% 15.3% 18.1% 14.2% 6.5% 1.6%
Marten Kendrick 8.4% 19.6% 19.3% 17.0% 16.9% 9.9% 6.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Abbie Probst 3.7% 9.9% 12.7% 12.6% 15.7% 16.4% 17.8% 9.2% 2.0%
Alexander Katsis 4.1% 8.6% 13.8% 13.7% 13.8% 15.4% 17.9% 9.6% 3.1%
Mark Thompson 4.4% 9.2% 13.4% 14.6% 15.7% 16.3% 18.5% 6.5% 1.4%
Brendan Bennett 0.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 6.5% 10.1% 39.6% 31.8%
Jack Gonzales 7.3% 16.3% 16.9% 17.9% 14.6% 14.2% 8.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Ryan Welch 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.0% 6.6% 22.7% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.