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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.31+2.71vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.25+1.94vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.79+1.73vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.21+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.75-2.15vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.60-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.41-1.53vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.29-2.32vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.06-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Michigan1.310.2%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.73Queen's University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.74Purdue University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Minnesota1.750.3%1st Place
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5.03University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Wisconsin0.410.1%1st Place
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5.68Ohio State University0.290.1%1st Place
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7.85Purdue University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Barbour | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| David Kluger | 12.3% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Graham Hutchings | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| George Halsted | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 10.1% |
| Allison Prange | 30.9% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Golden | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Peter Lewis | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 7.0% |
| Maggie Junkin | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 10.9% |
| Nick Heymer | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.